Tempo vs. Fire prediction: Why Portland is favored to win Thursday's WNBA matchup [8/6/2026]
Get Toronto Tempo vs Portland Fire predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Portland Fire will face the Toronto Tempo in WNBA action at Moda Center on Thursday, beginning at 10:00 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Fire as the most likely winner in this Tempo vs. Fire prediction.
The Fire, led by Bridget Carleton, Carla Leite and Megan Gustafson, will face off against the Tempo, whose lineup includes Marina Mabrey, Nyara Sabally and Laura Juskaite.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Tempo vs. Fire prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Fire a 60.1% chance of defeating the Tempo.
According to our model, the Fire (-2.5) have a 50.9% chance of covering the spread, while the 186.5-point over/under has a 56.1% chance of staying under,.
Tempo vs. Fire odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tempo | Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2.5 (+100) | -2.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | +133 | -135 |
| Total | o186.5 (-108) | u186.5 (+104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tempo vs. Fire picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fire -2.5 | +100 |
| Moneyline | Fire | -135 |
| Total | Under 186.5 | +104 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 186.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tempo vs. Fire player props
WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on Thursday's Tempo vs. Fire matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Moda Center.
Marina Mabrey is expected to lead the Tempo with 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Bridget Carleton is projected to have 19 points, 6 rebounds and 2 assists for the Fire.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Nyara Sabally as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Tempo prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey | 19 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| Nyara Sabally | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 34 |
| Laura Juskaite | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Maria Conde | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
Fire prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fire:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Carleton | 19 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 37 |
| Carla Leite | 16 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 34 |
| Megan Gustafson | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 26 |
| Emily Engstler | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 28 |
| Frieda Buhner | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
Tempo vs. Fire game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Fire and Tempo at Moda Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Portland Fire
- Date: Thursday, August 6, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Moda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Fire, with a 60.1% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
