WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, August 2, 2026
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 8/2.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, August 2, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Brittney Griner and Isabelle Harrison lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also feature tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (August 2, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 15.5% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 15.2% |
| Isabelle Harrison (Tempo) | 14.3% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 14.0% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.7% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 13.4% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.2% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 13.2% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 12.8% |
| Napheesa Collier (Lynx) | 12.2% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 12.2% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 12.2% |
| Cecilia Zandalasini (Valkyries) | 11.6% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 11.5% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun) | 11.4% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.3% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 11.1% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 10.4% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.4% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.3% |
| Laura Juskaite (Tempo) | 10.1% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 10.0% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 10.0% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 9.8% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.0% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 8.8% |
| Diamond Miller (Sun) | 7.9% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 7.8% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 7.7% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.6% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 7.6% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 7.3% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 7.2% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 6.9% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 5.7% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.5% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 5.3% |
| Nyadiew Puoch (Fire) | 5.3% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 5.3% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 5.2% |
WNBA first basket picks today (August 2, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 4.0% | +1300 | 11.1% |
| Isabelle Harrison | Tempo | 3.2% | +800 | 14.3% |
| Arike Ogunbowale | Wings | 2.3% | +1200 | 10.0% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 2.2% | +650 | 15.5% |
| Ariel Atkins | Sparks | 1.7% | +1580 | 7.6% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 1.7% | +1100 | 10.0% |
| Veronica Burton | Valkyries | 1.2% | +990 | 10.4% |
| Awak Kuier | Wings | 0.9% | +1400 | 7.6% |
| Carla Leite | Fire | 0.5% | +750 | 12.2% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 0.2% | +1200 | 7.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of WNBA prop bets for 8/2.
Conclusion: Betting on today's WNBA first basket
For Sunday, August 2, 2026, Gabby Williams, Brittney Griner and Isabelle Harrison lead our first basket projections, while Kayla McBride shapes as the strongest value play at +1300. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
